Excelsior .31 vs Apeldoorn CSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AZS
1 - 2
EXC
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 0
HAR
48%
22%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
ACV
1 - 2
EXC
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
DOS
1 - 2
EXC
15%
19%
67%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 3
ACV
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
APE
2 - 1
DRA
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
HZV
2 - 1
APE
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
APE
2 - 2
URK
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
STA
2 - 0
APE
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
APE
3 - 2
DOS
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |