Excelsior .31 vs Apeldoorn CSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 0
EXC
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 1
STA
61%
21%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
FLE
0 - 3
EXC
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
WHC
2 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 0
ONS
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
APE
1 - 1
WHC
41%
26%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
APE
0 - 1
HAR
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
STA
0 - 0
APE
39%
23%
38%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
DVS
0 - 0
APE
36%
24%
39%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
APE
2 - 0
DTS
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |