Excelsior .31 vs Ajax Amateurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
16º
15º
35
5º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 48 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
81% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16% | 44.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
65% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation
|
19% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 2
VVS
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ROH
3 - 2
EXC
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 2
BER
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DET
2 - 2
EXC
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
EXC
3 - 1
BEQ
82%
12%
7%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
HUI
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TER
2 - 4
AJA
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SJC
1 - 3
AJA
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 3
DHS
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
JOS
1 - 0
AJA
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |