Excelsior .20 vs UVS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 0
EXC
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 2
VEL
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 1
PAN
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VUC
4 - 0
EXC
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 2
PAP
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
UVS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 2
UVS
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UVS
1 - 1
PAN
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
UVS
0 - 2
NIE
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ADO
2 - 0
UVS
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
UVS
0 - 1
SCN
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |