Excelsior .20 vs TONEGIDO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
DWV
1 - 3
EXC
73%
17%
11%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
HAA
4 - 1
EXC
80%
13%
6%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 1
DWV
19%
22%
59%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
ARG
3 - 0
EXC
82%
12%
5%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
ADO
2 - 1
EXC
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
TONEGIDO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
TNG
0 - 0
HOL
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
TNG
3 - 1
ADO
31%
24%
44%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
TNG
2 - 2
VVS
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
ACA
2 - 2
TNG
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
TNG
3 - 3
VUC
52%
22%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |