Excelsior .20 vs Neptunus-Schiebroek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MAG
6 - 2
EXC
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 0
VEL
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
KOC
4 - 2
EXC
21%
22%
58%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 4
VOC
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 2
SJC
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Neptunus-Schiebroek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SCN
1 - 1
SJC
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PFC
2 - 1
SCN
12%
20%
68%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SCN
3 - 1
FCB
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
NIE
0 - 1
SCN
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SCN
0 - 1
DEM
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |