Excelsior .20 vs Neptunus-Schiebroek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
UVS
3 - 3
EXC
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 1
FCB
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
4 - 0
EXC
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 3
GDA
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PAN
1 - 1
EXC
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Neptunus-Schiebroek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SCN
2 - 3
FCB
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
GDA
3 - 1
SCN
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SCN
1 - 0
VUC
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAP
0 - 1
SCN
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SCN
0 - 3
SJC
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |