Excelsior .20 vs Pancratius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VUC
4 - 0
EXC
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 2
PAP
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NIE
2 - 3
EXC
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SJC
3 - 3
EXC
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
EXC
3 - 0
ADO
47%
24%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Pancratius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 4
PAN
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PAN
4 - 1
NIE
49%
22%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PAN
2 - 1
ADO
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SCN
2 - 1
PAN
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PAN
2 - 4
FCB
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |