Excelsior .20 vs HV & CV Quick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 0
HAA
21%
24%
55%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
TNG
2 - 4
EXC
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 1
ARG
12%
21%
67%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
HOL
4 - 1
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
ADO
20%
24%
57%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
HV & CV Quick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
QUI
3 - 1
RKA
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SJC
2 - 2
QUI
43%
24%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
HVV
1 - 1
QUI
19%
22%
60%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 4
NIE
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
LEO
1 - 0
QUI
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |