Excelsior .20 vs SV Argon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
66.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
HOL
4 - 1
EXC
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
ADO
20%
24%
57%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 1
HIL
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
ELI
2 - 1
EXC
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 0
DWS
11%
20%
69%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
SV Argon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ARG
4 - 2
VVS
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ACA
0 - 3
ARG
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ARG
2 - 0
VUC
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
HIL
0 - 0
ARG
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
HAA
4 - 0
ARG
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |