Excelsior .20 vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
69%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
VVS
3 - 0
EXC
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 0
ACA
31%
25%
44%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +3 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
VUC
2 - 1
EXC
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 3
HOL
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 1
FTA
13%
21%
66%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
DWS
1 - 0
HAA
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
DWS
3 - 0
DWV
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
VVS
5 - 1
DWS
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
ACA
0 - 2
DWS
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
DWS
2 - 0
TNG
73%
18%
10%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | +1 |