Ex Alumnos 185 vs Sarm. Resistencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ex Alumnos 185
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FON
3 - 1
ALU
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ALU
2 - 0
SOL
14%
20%
67%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | +7 |
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 1
FON
65%
21%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
RAC
2 - 0
SAR
88%
10%
2%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 1
ARS
4%
14%
82%
|
44 | 79 | 35 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
GIM
0 - 1
SAR
86%
10%
3%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
SAR
0 - 1
FAM
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |