Ex Alumnos 185 vs San Martín Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
63.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ex Alumnos 185
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RES
1 - 1
ALU
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
ALU
1 - 1
SPA
14%
22%
65%
|
29 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LAG
2 - 0
ALU
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALU
1 - 1
SAR
20%
24%
57%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FON
3 - 1
ALU
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
SMA
0 - 0
SAR
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
FON
1 - 1
SMA
19%
24%
57%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SMA
1 - 1
SOL
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
IND
0 - 1
SMA
14%
22%
64%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SMA
1 - 0
RES
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | +1 |