Ex Alumnos 185 vs Fontana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ex Alumnos 185
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SOL
5 - 2
ALU
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
ALU
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ALU
2 - 0
SMA
14%
22%
64%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RES
1 - 1
ALU
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
ALU
1 - 1
SPA
14%
22%
65%
|
29 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Fontana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FON
0 - 1
SAR
28%
26%
47%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FON
0 - 3
SOL
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
FON
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
FON
1 - 1
SMA
19%
24%
57%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
RES
1 - 0
FON
41%
24%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |