Ex Alumnos 185 vs Deportivo Achirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ex Alumnos 185
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
COL
2 - 0
ALU
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 1
LBC
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DPR
4 - 1
ALU
69%
18%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 0
JGB
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ALU
1 - 0
SFE
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Achirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ACH
3 - 0
SFE
49%
23%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
HUR
1 - 2
ACH
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
JGB
0 - 1
ACH
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ACH
1 - 1
COL
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
LBC
0 - 0
ACH
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |