Ex Alumnos 185 vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ex Alumnos 185
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
JGB
3 - 0
ALU
35%
23%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SFE
5 - 0
ALU
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 5
HUR
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALU
1 - 2
ACH
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
COL
2 - 0
ALU
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
DPR
3 - 2
SFE
67%
18%
14%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HUR
0 - 2
DPR
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
DPR
1 - 1
ACH
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
DPR
1 - 1
COL
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LBC
2 - 0
DPR
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -5 |