EVV vs Unitas 30 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
5º
13º
6º
34
3º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
JUL
1 - 0
EVV
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
EVV
0 - 0
NEM
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GOE
3 - 0
EVV
72%
17%
10%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
EVV
2 - 2
NUE
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 2
EVV
39%
24%
38%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Unitas 30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
NEM
54%
20%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NUE
2 - 2
UNI
39%
22%
39%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
5 - 1
SCK
68%
16%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VEN
7 - 0
UNI
52%
21%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 4
UDI
68%
16%
16%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |