Evreux 27 vs Guingamp II analysis


39	ELO	42
-5.7%	Tilt	9.8%
32017º	General ELO ranking	5531º
653º	Country ELO ranking	124º
ELO win probability

42.3%

Evreux 27

25.8%

Draw

31.9%

Guingamp II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

42.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%

25.8%

Draw

0-0

6.9%

1-1

12.2%

2-2

5.4%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

0

25.7%

31.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

12º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

31

3º

11º

34

3º

12º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

11º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	69	69	1º	100%
3º	56	59	2º	95%
2º	57	57	3º	95%
4º	48	48	4º	65.5%
6º	41	46	5º	65.5%
5º	43	43	6º	100%
8º	39	39	7º	0%
7º	39	39	8º	26.5%
9º	39	39	9º	73.5%
10º	37	37	10º	100%
12º	31	35	11º	47.5%
11º	34	35	12º	47.5%
16º	20	28	13º	59.5%
13º	25	26	14º	59.5%
14º	24	24	15º	0%
15º	24	24	16º	0%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Mid-table	47.5%	52.5%
Relegation	52.5%	47.5%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Evreux 27

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
27 May. 2023	SAI 3 - 3 EVR 62% 21% 17%	41	49	8	0
13 May. 2023	EVR 1 - 2 FCR 17% 25% 58%	41	55	14	0
06 May. 2023	POI 5 - 2 EVR 50% 24% 25%	43	46	3	-2
29 Apr. 2023	EVR 1 - 1 BLO 38% 26% 37%	43	45	2	0
22 Apr. 2023	STA 2 - 1 EVR 34% 25% 41%	44	40	4	-1

Matches

Guingamp II

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
27 May. 2023	GUI 1 - 0 VAN 45% 24% 31%	40	40	0	0
13 May. 2023	RAC 0 - 1 GUI 78% 15% 6%	39	70	31	+1
06 May. 2023	GUI 1 - 6 CHA 13% 21% 66%	40	55	15	-1
29 Apr. 2023	VOL 1 - 1 GUI 54% 25% 21%	40	47	7	0
22 Apr. 2023	GUI 1 - 0 STP 23% 25% 52%	38	48	10	+2