Evreux 27 vs Caen II analysis


39	ELO	39
-16.2%	Tilt	2.7%
31985º	General ELO ranking	6980º
646º	Country ELO ranking	186º
ELO win probability

40.1%

Evreux 27

25.2%

Draw

34.8%

Caen II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

40.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%

25.2%

Draw

0-0

6%

1-1

11.9%

2-2

5.8%

3-3

1.3%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

25.2%

34.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

12º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

31

3º

11º

24

11º

16º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

15º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	69	69	1º	100%
3º	56	59	2º	95%
2º	57	57	3º	95%
4º	48	48	4º	65.5%
6º	41	46	5º	65.5%
5º	43	43	6º	100%
8º	39	39	7º	0%
7º	39	39	8º	26.5%
9º	39	39	9º	73.5%
10º	37	37	10º	100%
12º	31	35	11º	47.5%
11º	34	35	12º	47.5%
16º	20	28	13º	59.5%
13º	25	26	14º	59.5%
14º	24	24	15º	0%
15º	24	24	16º	0%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Mid-table	47.5%	0%
Relegation	52.5%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Evreux 27

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
20 Aug. 2022	GUI 2 - 2 EVR 56% 23% 22%	39	43	4	0
11 Jun. 2022	EVR 1 - 3 ALE 62% 22% 17%	40	31	9	-1
28 May. 2022	CHE 1 - 0 EVR 13% 19% 68%	41	23	18	-1
21 May. 2022	OIS 3 - 3 EVR 32% 26% 42%	41	38	3	0
14 May. 2022	EVR 4 - 1 DIE 67% 20% 13%	41	28	13	0

Matches

Caen II

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
20 Aug. 2022	CAE 0 - 5 VAN 37% 25% 38%	41	45	4	0
28 May. 2022	CAE 2 - 2 PLA 51% 24% 25%	42	41	1	-1
21 May. 2022	VOL 0 - 0 CAE 43% 27% 30%	42	43	1	0
14 May. 2022	SAI 1 - 0 CAE 47% 25% 28%	43	43	0	-1
30 Apr. 2022	CAE 3 - 0 CHA 17% 21% 62%	41	53	12	+2