Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
ETG
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
ETG
2 - 0
NAN
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GIR
2 - 1
ETG
55%
24%
20%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ETG
2 - 2
LIL
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
MPL
1 - 1
ETG
54%
26%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 1
REN
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
REI
3 - 1
VAL
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 2
SOC
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
PSG
3 - 0
VAL
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 1
NIC
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |