Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CAE
2 - 2
ETG
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
REN
3 - 2
ETG
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
PSG
3 - 1
ETG
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ETG
0 - 0
GIR
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 2
ETG
15%
19%
66%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ASN
0 - 3
TFC
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
ASN
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ASN
0 - 0
REN
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AUX
1 - 3
ASN
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ASN
2 - 2
LOR
36%
26%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |