Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 2
ETG
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ETG
2 - 1
LEN
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
GIR
2 - 1
ETG
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ETG
1 - 3
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 0
ETG
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MET
3 - 0
REI
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MET
3 - 1
BAS
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NIC
1 - 0
MET
53%
27%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MET
2 - 1
LYO
19%
24%
57%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |