Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ETG
0 - 2
NAN
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
ETG
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ETG
3 - 0
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 2
ETG
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ETG
2 - 1
LEN
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 1
LOR
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 1
ASS
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
LOR
35%
27%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 2
ETG
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
LYO
4 - 0
LOR
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |