Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 1
ETG
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ETG
3 - 1
AUX
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SOC
1 - 1
ETG
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ETG
1 - 2
ASS
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 1
ETG
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
AJA
67%
22%
12%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
3 - 1
LOR
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
MPL
1 - 2
LOR
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 0
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
REN
2 - 0
LOR
47%
26%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |