Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
BOU
0 - 2
ETG
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
ETG
0 - 1
RED
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PFC
0 - 0
ETG
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ETG
4 - 0
AUX
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MET
2 - 1
ETG
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 0
SOC
45%
28%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 1
LEN
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 1
TOU
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 1
LEN
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 4
LHA
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |