Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
GIR
2 - 1
ETG
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ETG
1 - 3
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 0
ETG
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
ETG
0 - 0
PSG
14%
20%
65%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
REN
6 - 2
ETG
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 1
ASS
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LEN
4 - 2
REI
41%
28%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LYO
0 - 1
LEN
69%
20%
12%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 1
GUI
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |