Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ETG
1 - 1
REI
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 0
PSG
17%
22%
61%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
ETG
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ETG
0 - 4
LOR
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
ETG
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LIL
2 - 1
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 3
LYO
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
ETG
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SOC
1 - 1
BAS
43%
25%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |