Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
ETG
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
ETG
1 - 1
LYO
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
ETG
38%
27%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ETG
2 - 3
GIR
28%
24%
47%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ETG
0 - 1
BRE
60%
23%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 3
ASS
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
REN
3 - 2
BAS
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
REI
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SOC
2 - 3
BAS
61%
22%
16%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 2
BAS
6%
18%
76%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |