Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
USS
0 - 2
ETG
5%
13%
82%
|
78 | 35 | 43 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
LYO
0 - 0
ETG
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ETG
0 - 2
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
AAC
1 - 1
ETG
9%
17%
74%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 1
ETG
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
VAL
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
PSG
0 - 0
AJA
78%
15%
8%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
FCR
1 - 1
AJA
20%
23%
58%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 4
REN
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
TRO
3 - 2
AJA
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |