Evian Thonon Gaillard II vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 2
EVI
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
EVI
2 - 1
FRE
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
GAR
2 - 4
EVI
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
EVI
0 - 1
VEN
66%
20%
15%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
EVI
82%
14%
4%
|
38 | 72 | 34 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
GRA
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
SPO
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 3
PRO
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
2 - 0
SPO
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 0
CHA
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |