Evian Thonon Gaillard II vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 0
EVI
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 2
EVI
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
EVI
1 - 1
BAS
11%
22%
67%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
EVI
31%
25%
45%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
EVI
1 - 3
GRE
19%
25%
56%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 3
GRA
54%
23%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
NIC
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AUB
1 - 0
NIC
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NIC
4 - 0
PRO
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
3 - 2
NIC
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |