Evian Thonon Gaillard II vs Sportive Fréjusienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
GAR
2 - 4
EVI
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
EVI
0 - 1
VEN
66%
20%
15%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
EVI
82%
14%
4%
|
38 | 72 | 34 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
EVI
74%
18%
8%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
EVI
3 - 0
SAI
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Sportive Fréjusienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 2
GRA
63%
22%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
FRE
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 0
PRO
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
1 - 2
FRE
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
FRE
3 - 0
GRE
22%
27%
51%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +2 |