Evian Thonon Gaillard II vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
EVI
1 - 2
CSL
70%
18%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
VEN
0 - 3
EVI
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
EVI
2 - 2
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
EVI
1 - 1
CLE
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
EVI
1 - 0
SAI
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
LPV
1 - 0
BOU
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
BOU
2 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BOU
4 - 2
CLE
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ERN
1 - 1
BOU
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
BOU
44%
27%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |