Everton U23 vs Derby County U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
MCI
4 - 1
EVE
42%
24%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
EVE
2 - 2
CHE
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
EVE
3 - 3
ARS
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 1
EVE
27%
23%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2019 |
EVE
3 - 2
WOL
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
DER
2 - 2
TOT
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 2
DER
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2019 |
DER
4 - 2
SOU
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 3
DER
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
LEI
4 - 1
DER
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |