Everton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WHU
1 - 1
EVE
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
EVE
6 - 2
SUN
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
EVE
1 - 1
NOR
60%
22%
19%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 1
EVE
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
EVE
0 - 3
MUD
34%
26%
41%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ASV
0 - 0
MAC
9%
18%
73%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
TOT
3 - 1
ASV
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 1
ASV
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ASV
1 - 2
SWA
45%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CHL
2 - 0
ASV
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |