Evergreen vs Reading United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
73.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evergreen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
EVE
3 - 1
JER
16%
17%
68%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
EVE
0 - 0
LEH
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
OCE
3 - 2
EVE
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
OCE
4 - 1
EVE
81%
14%
6%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
EVE
0 - 2
NEW
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Reading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
REA
1 - 0
OCE
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
REA
0 - 3
PNN
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
REA
2 - 0
NEW
89%
9%
3%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 2
REA
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
REA
3 - 2
NYC
15%
20%
66%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | +3 |