Evergreen vs New York RB III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
70.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evergreen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
REA
3 - 0
EVE
87%
9%
3%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
EVE
1 - 2
OCE
13%
19%
68%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
EVE
0 - 2
LEH
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
EVE
2 - 5
REA
9%
18%
73%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
EVE
3 - 1
JER
16%
17%
68%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
New York RB III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 1
LEH
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
REA
2 - 1
NEW
61%
21%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
NEW
4 - 1
JER
75%
16%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 2
NEW
10%
19%
71%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
LEH
1 - 2
NEW
9%
18%
73%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |