Evergreen vs Jersey Express analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
67.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evergreen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
EVE
0 - 0
LEH
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
OCE
3 - 2
EVE
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
OCE
4 - 1
EVE
81%
14%
6%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
EVE
0 - 2
NEW
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
JER
1 - 1
EVE
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Jersey Express
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
LEH
3 - 2
JER
9%
14%
77%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 0
JER
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
JER
2 - 0
NEW
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
JER
1 - 1
EVE
86%
9%
5%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
JER
0 - 4
REA
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -3 |