Etzella Ettelbruck vs Fola Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
63.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
16º
15º
26
4º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etzella Ettelbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ETZ
1 - 2
MON
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ETZ
0 - 4
F91
6%
11%
82%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
UNA
4 - 1
ETZ
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ETZ
0 - 1
ULU
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
USH
0 - 3
ETZ
52%
22%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FOL
1 - 2
TPE
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 1
EIN
86%
10%
4%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
JEU
0 - 0
FOL
34%
22%
44%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 0
BER
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ULU
4 - 2
FOL
42%
25%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |