ETSV Hamburg vs Türkiye Wilhelmsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
61.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
3º
12º
3º
32
11º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ETSV Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ATB
1 - 3
ETH
46%
21%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ETH
1 - 3
SAS
7%
12%
81%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
UTO
0 - 6
ETH
77%
13%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 2
WAN
9%
13%
78%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BUC
4 - 2
ETH
77%
13%
10%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 2
NIE
17%
18%
65%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DAS
1 - 2
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WIL
3 - 3
THA
33%
21%
46%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
RUG
0 - 2
WIL
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ATB
2 - 0
WIL
15%
17%
68%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | -2 |