Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau vs Dynamo Le Moule analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
11º
4º
17
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 33 |
3º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
76.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
76.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
76.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 11 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
66% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
34% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SIR
0 - 1
ETO
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
ETO
2 - 0
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
USB
1 - 1
ETO
57%
22%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
6 - 0
ETO
77%
16%
7%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
STL
1 - 3
ETO
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dynamo Le Moule
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SSC
3 - 1
ASD
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
USB
2 - 1
ASD
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 0
SIR
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
JUV
3 - 3
ASD
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 2
STL
32%
21%
46%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |