ES Sahel vs US Monastir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
4º
1º
26
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TAT
0 - 1
ETO
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 0
CSS
52%
27%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
STA
1 - 1
ETO
36%
27%
36%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ETO
2 - 0
ASS
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 2
CAB
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
US Monastir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
USM
2 - 0
FHM
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 1
USM
47%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
FHM
0 - 4
USM
10%
18%
72%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
USM
2 - 1
ASR
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
YOU
2 - 0
USM
31%
26%
44%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |