Confederation Cup Final
Global 1-1
ES Sahel vs FAR Rabat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
USM
0 - 0
ETO
45%
32%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2006 |
ETO
2 - 1
EGS
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
FAR
1 - 1
ETO
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
CLU
1 - 0
ETO
56%
27%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
ETO
3 - 2
OLY
56%
26%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FAR Rabat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
FAR
1 - 1
ETO
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
FAR
1 - 0
OLY
56%
26%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
FAR
1 - 0
MOU
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
JSM
0 - 0
FAR
48%
30%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
FAR
2 - 1
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |