ES Sahel vs EGS Gafsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
USM
1 - 1
ETO
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ENY
1 - 1
ETO
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
ETO
1 - 0
ZAR
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
ETO
1 - 0
ENY
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
ETO
2 - 0
AFR
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
EGS
0 - 1
ASD
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
CAB
5 - 0
EGS
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |