ES Sahel vs Big Bullets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ETO
2 - 0
EGS
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
USM
1 - 1
ETO
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ENY
1 - 1
ETO
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
ETO
1 - 0
ZAR
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
ETO
1 - 0
ENY
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Big Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
AFR
1 - 1
BUL
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
BUL
2 - 1
AFR
18%
21%
61%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
ENY
6 - 0
BUL
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
BUL
0 - 1
ETO
17%
24%
60%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |