ES Sahel vs US Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CSS
1 - 1
ETO
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ETO
5 - 1
CAB
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ETO
2 - 1
TAT
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TPM
0 - 0
ETO
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ETO
1 - 1
TPM
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
US Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAB
51%
29%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 1
ZAR
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
COS
0 - 1
BEN
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
TAT
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 0
CSS
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |