ES Métlaoui vs AS Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
28.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Métlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ETO
0 - 1
ESP
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
STA
1 - 0
ETO
42%
29%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ETO
2 - 1
OLY
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ETO
0 - 2
CLU
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GAB
1 - 1
ETO
33%
29%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CLU
2 - 1
ASD
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ASD
2 - 2
GAB
47%
27%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CSH
1 - 1
ASD
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
OLY
2 - 1
ASD
23%
29%
49%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ASD
0 - 2
ESP
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |