Étoile Du Congo vs FC Nathaly's de Pointe-Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
14º
3º
25
10º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Étoile Du Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 0
ETO
26%
26%
47%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 4
ETO
24%
26%
50%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
BNG
0 - 3
ETO
53%
24%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 0
MOK
49%
27%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 0
ETO
43%
28%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Nathaly's de Pointe-Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NPN
0 - 0
BNG
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NPN
2 - 1
CAR
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
INT
0 - 1
NPN
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
NPN
1 - 1
DIA
21%
25%
55%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LEO
3 - 0
NPN
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |