Etoile de Kivu vs Simba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile de Kivu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
KIV
0 - 1
TPM
36%
30%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
ASK
2 - 1
KIV
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 0
KIV
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
RAN
1 - 0
KIV
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
KIV
0 - 0
TSH
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Simba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
VCL
5 - 0
SIM
61%
24%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SIM
0 - 0
MAN
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TPM
2 - 0
SIM
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BFC
0 - 1
SIM
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SIM
0 - 2
SAI
33%
30%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |