Etoile Carouge vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
5º
3º
41
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 3
ETO
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 1
SER
15%
21%
65%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 1
LAU
24%
22%
54%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
STA
2 - 3
ETO
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 2
CSC
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
NEX
3 - 2
STA
34%
26%
39%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NEX
0 - 3
LAU
25%
23%
52%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
SIO
0 - 3
NEX
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NEX
1 - 0
DEL
70%
18%
13%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
YOB
4 - 0
NEX
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |